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Beige Book Shows Pace of Recovery is Moderating

We have seen a historic rebound in economic growth since the US economy emerged from lockdowns, but the pace of the economic rebound has tapered in recent weeks as the effects of fiscal stimulus fade. The recently released Federal Reserve (Fed) Beige Book appears to show that economic activity has become more segmented, with changes…

Market Update: Tuesday, Oct 20, 2020

US equities look to rebound from Monday’s selloff. The S&P 500 Index opened higher this morning after lack of progress on stimulus talks contributed to broad-based losses Monday. Investors may start looking ahead to a post-election stimulus package, but would welcome something sooner. Asian shares were mixed overnight, while the broad Stoxx Europe 600 sits…

Under-the-Radar Signal That Rates May Head Higher

The 10-year Treasury yield has stayed in a narrow range since April 2020, helped by a supportive Federal Reserve and ongoing concerns about the COVID-19 pandemic. As shown in LPL’s Chart of the Day, the 10-year Treasury yield actually is sitting below inflation right now as measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI) excluding food…

Market Update: Monday, October 12, 2020

Daily Insights Stocks add to last week’s solid gains. While most attribute the recent bump up in stocks to stimulus and position jockeying ahead of Election Day, earnings season has quietly snuck up on us and will be a big focus for investors this week. The US bond market is closed for the Columbus Day…

Follow The Bouncing Stimulus Ball

Posted by lplresearch Stimulus talks in Washington, DC, are getting a lot of attention from investors—and for good reason. The midpoint of the two offers—roughly $1.6 trillion from the White House and $2.2 trillion from US House Democrats—is about 9% of last year’s US gross domestic product (source: Bureau of Labor Statistics). That’s a big…

100 Market Signals and Counting

Posted by lplresearch In the recent LPL Market Signals video, LPL Financial Chief Market Strategist Ryan Detrick and Equity Strategist Jeff Buchbinder celebrate the 100th episode of this client-approved podcast, along with putting the recent stock market weakness in perspective and more, including: Recent technology sector weakness Market behavior ahead of elections Recent economic data…

5 Lessons Learned About Rising Rates

Posted by lplresearch While the direction of the 10-year Treasury yield over the last cycle was decidedly lower, as shown in LPL’s Chart of the Day, there were still six extended periods where it rose at least 0.75%, and in two of those it rose almost 2%. Looking ahead, economic growth below potential, slack in…

3 Charts To Watch If You Are Bullish

Posted by lplresearch The S&P 500 Index just closed the door on its best August since 1986, making new all-time highs along the way, while also closing up five months in a row. First things first, make no mistake about it; this is a new bull market. That of course doesn’t mean it will last…

Which Bull Will It Be?

Posted by lplresearch The incredible rally off the March 23 bear market bottom continues, with the S&P 500 Index up more than 50% from those fateful lows. It feels like a lifetime since the longest bull market ever ended. Remember though, although the recent bull market was the longest, it wasn’t the greatest, as the…

5 Charts To See With Stocks At New Highs

Posted by lplresearch “Better late than never.” It took a while, but the S&P 500 Index finally made a new all-time high, coming all the way back from the vicious 34% bear market in less than six months. It might bring back some scary memories, but back in March it took the S&P 500 only…