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Treasury Hit Key Levels

Treasury yields hit two key levels the first week of 2021. As shown in the LPL Chart of the Day, the 10-year Treasury yield moved above 1% for the first time since March 2020, and the 10-year breakeven inflation rate, a measure of Treasury market-implied inflation expectations, climbed above 2% for the first time since…

Two Tales of 2020 Bond Returns

US investment-grade bonds had a solid 2020 despite a tumultuous year overall. The broad Bloomberg Barclays US Aggregate Bond Index had a total return of 7.5%—not as strong as 2019’s 8.7% but its fifth-best year in the last 20 and the best two-year stretch since 2001–02. “It was another good year for bonds in 2020,…

Weekly Market Performance – Ending the Year with Stimulus

US and International Equities As we finish out a challenging year this week, Congress passed COVID-19 relief, providing increased unemployment benefits, small business assistance, along with an additional $600 stimulus payment. In addition, Congress is presently in negotiations concerning additional stimulus payments. The major market indexes closed higher this week. Compared to last week where…

Housing Data Continues to Surge

For many economic data series, 2020 has been a roller coaster. Not for housing, however. The onset of the COVID-19 pandemic and social distancing measures jump-started the “nesting” behavioral shift away from urban apartments and into single-family housing in the suburbs, as households sought additional space. As shown in the LPL Chart of the Day,…

Solid Holiday Shopping Season and Daily Market Update

Solid holiday shopping season. Holiday sales grew 3%, beating forecasts for a 2.4% increase according to MasterCard’s SpendingPulse. Online sales rose 49% year over year. These results were impressive for a recessionary period—the comparable figure dropped 3.5% in 2008—and highlight the resiliency of the US consumer and benefits of stimulus. Daily Insights Stocks open higher…

Some Tips on TIPS

With concern about inflation rising for some investors, we’ve started to receive questions about Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities, or TIPS. With TIPS, the principal of the bond, the part that’s paid back when the bond matures, is adjusted for inflation (or deflation) as measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI), which is a form of inflation…

4 More Years of Dollar Weakness?

Back in July, we wrote in our July 23 LPL Research blog that dollar weakness may continue, highlighting a short-term bearish technical case for the US dollar. Since then, the Bloomberg US Dollar Index and the US Dollar Index (DXY) are down 5.3% and 4.1%, respectively. Today, we take a more long-term look at the…